九一星空无限

ZB ZB
Opinion
Live now
Start time
Playing for
End time
Listen live
Up next
ZB

Adrian Orr hits back at U-turn criticism

Author
RNZ,
Publish Date
Thu, 15 Aug 2024, 3:14pm
Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr. Photo / Mark Mitchell
Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Adrian Orr hits back at U-turn criticism

Author
RNZ,
Publish Date
Thu, 15 Aug 2024, 3:14pm

By Anan Zaki of聽

Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr has hit out at comments claiming the central bank has done a complete U-turn from its May forecasts.

On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate for the first time in four years and noticeably cooled the interest rate outlook, with further cuts expected.

It marked a departure from the bank鈥檚 May statement, when it raised the possibility of further hikes.

The so-called 鈥渇lip-flop鈥 drew criticism from Infometrics chief economist Brad Olsen and some in the mortgage sector.

At Thursday鈥檚 Finance and Expenditure Select Committee hearing, Orr was not keen on entertaining the comments when asked by chairman Stuart Smith.

鈥淚 can鈥檛 give air time to that comment,鈥 Orr told the committee.

鈥淵ou might not like it, but it鈥檚 still a comment,鈥 Smith responded.

Orr was not finished.

鈥淣o, well it鈥檚 just wrong, that鈥檚 why [I won鈥檛 comment]. So I won鈥檛 bother,鈥 he said.

鈥淭here鈥檚 no U-turn. I will quote [the bank鈥檚 July comments]: 鈥楾he extent of this restraint will be tempered over time consistent with the expected decline in inflation pressures鈥,鈥 Orr said.

鈥淚f people can鈥檛 understand what that means, I鈥檓 not sure if they should be commentating,鈥 he concluded.

Brad Olsen, chief executive and principal economist at Infometrics. Photo / Mark Mitchell
Brad Olsen, chief executive and principal economist at Infometrics. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Earlier, Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway said economic conditions had changed since May and the central bank was looking at the data available.

鈥淎ctivity is just a lot weaker now than what we were thinking back then, and it hasn鈥檛 shown up in the GDP data, for example, because it鈥檚 lagged,鈥 he said.

Gross domestic product data (GDP), a broad measure of economic growth, was published months after the economic period had finished. For example, the data for the three months ended March was published in June.

Conway said the Reserve Bank looked at more frequent indicators, such as monthly manufacturing and services sector data.

鈥淲hen we look across a whole range of those high-frequency indicators ... when you look across all of them, they鈥檙e currently painting a very consistent picture of a weaker economy,鈥 Conway said.

-RNZ

Take your Radio, Podcasts and Music with you