Meteorologists have tallied dramatic weather totals to find what would鈥檝e been obvious to anyone caught in听听鈥 this ex-tropical cyclone is a history-maker.
Between midnight Sunday and 11am today, a whopping 568mm had fallen at Raparapaririki in the ranges of Tair膩whiti, where scenes of heavy flooding have emerged amid a communications blackout.
Those numbers were approaching some of the incredible values recorded in 1988鈥瞫 Bola 鈥 one of the costliest cyclones in New Zealand鈥檚 history 鈥 in which 419mm fell at Te Puia in 24 hours, while Glenross Station recorded a mammoth 917mm over four days.
鈥淲e鈥檝e had stations in that region recording half a metre [of rainfall] 鈥 so we鈥檙e talking about a shorter duration than Bola, but just as intense,鈥 Niwa forecaster Ben Noll said.
At Niwa鈥檚 Fernside station in the Gisborne district, 375mm fell between Monday and Tuesday morning, while 345mm was recorded at Whangarei, where yesterday was the city鈥檚 wettest February day on record.
鈥淪ince Sunday, Whangarei is now sitting at three and a half times its monthly normal.鈥
Elsewhere in Northland, the climate station at Trounson measured 305mm over that one and a half day period, while the Brynderwyn Hills were saturated with 299mm.
At Napier 鈥撎 the 175.8mm of rainfall registered at the city鈥檚 airport in the 24 hours from 9am Monday proved its second-wettest day since 1950, and eclipsed the 56mm usually recorded there in an average February.
Extensive flooding at Awatoto seen from above the Napier Golf Course. Photo / Photography by Corena
Other standout totals included the 200mm that a station at Maunganui, north of Napier, recorded in just 12 hours to 7am Tuesday.
In that same period, climate stations measured 191mm at Pukeorapa southwest of Gisborne, 160mm in Waitakere in Auckland, 152mm in southern Coromandel鈥檚 Golden Valley and 133mm at Wallers, northwest of Auckland.
鈥淎t Western Springs, we saw two times the monthly normal in just under 24 hours.鈥
Incredibly, Auckland had now received around half of its annual rainfall, just 45 days into 2023.
MetService reported other huge totals for yesterday, including 160mm at Whangarei Airport, 151.8mm at Gisborne Airport, 125.8mm at Tolaga Bay and 83.2mm at Mahia.
Gabrielle has also brought seriously strong wind speeds.
鈥淲ind gusts over 140km/h have been recorded at many exposed coastal locations, but urban areas have been affected too, with New Plymouth airport gusts reaching 128km/h, with wave heights close to 11m recorded off the coast of the Bay of Islands,鈥 MetService meteorologist Andrew James said.
The highest peak wind gust measured by one of Niwa鈥檚 stations was at Dargaville, measuring 127km/h, while Metservice had observed gusts as powerful as 140km/h in Northland, along with 135km/h in the Hauraki Gulf.
Near the recently shuttered Chateau Tongariro Hotel at the base of Mt Ruapehu, Niwa recorded gusts as heavy as 125km/h - along with 269mm of rainfall.
Noll said Gabrielle had been expected to reach record low values for air pressure in New Zealand overnight 鈥 but Whitianga鈥檚 station was knocked out just after 9pm.
At that point, the barometer had already plunged to 973hPa 鈥 at least putting Gabrielle鈥檚 central pressure in the same ballpark as the July 鈥渨eather bomb鈥 of 2008.
鈥淎t the same time, other locations like Leigh in north Auckland had their lowest pressure on record,鈥 Noll said.
At noon today, MetService was estimating pressure at the system鈥檚 centre, to the north of East Cape, to be as low as 965hPa.
All told, Noll expected Gabrielle to go down as a historic weather event.
鈥淲hen you鈥檙e talking two or three months worth of rain in single days, along with the winds we鈥檝e had, and flooding, waves and coastal hazards, it all comes together to create this situation.鈥
Such was the extent of Gabrielle鈥檚 destruction that the Government听听for only the third time in history 鈥 and the first for severe weather.
This afternoon, tens of thousands across the North Island were without power, pockets of Napier and other parts of Hawke鈥檚 Bay were underwater and entire communities in the Coromandel and East Coast were cut off.
State Highway 5 after heavy flooding during Cyclone Bola in 1988. Photo / Warren Buckland
Some have already drawn comparisons with Bola, which damaged houses, roads, railway lines and bridges with widespread flooding along the East Coast.
It forced the evacuations of thousands of people, cost more than $70m in insured losses, and claimed the lives of seven people in flooding.
Noll said Gabrielle wasn鈥檛 yet finished with New Zealand, but conditions were expected to ease over the next two days.
Today, rain was forecast to ease in the upper North Island, but continue in Tair膩whiti/Gisborne and northern Hawke鈥檚 Bay until tonight, with rain also affecting the lower North Island and parts of Marlborough.
鈥淎 continuing focus will be wind,鈥 James said.
鈥淲e are still expecting gusts in excess of 120km/h over parts of the upper North Island, Taranaki and central New Zealand, and warnings are still in place.鈥
Chatham Islands, 850km offshore from Christchurch, was expecting heavy rain and strong winds from this afternoon, with the system passing to the north on Wednesday.
This would be tied with large easterly waves, an unusual direction for the islands.
While Gabrielle takes a southeast track moving away from New Zealand from early tomorrow, the impacts would be felt for much longer.
Tomorrow, rain was forecast to continue into the capital 鈥 with a few showers around central and northern North Island 鈥 and dry breaks across Waikato and Bay of Plenty.
Following that, there was some more wet weather from Thursday, but apart from Wellington and Wairarapa, most areas would only receive showers.
For the South Island, wet weather continued for Canterbury and Marlborough tomorrow, while conditions elsewhere would be generally dry.
鈥淭here is some light at the end of the tunnel 鈥 MetService is forecasting a ridge over the North Island bringing a spell of settled weather from this weekend onwards.鈥
Region-by-region warnings
As of 1pm Tuesday, MetService has weather warnings/watches in place:
- 狈辞谤迟丑濒补苍诲:听Red strong wind warning until 9pm tonight
- Auckland听including Great Barrier Island and other islands in the Hauraki Gulf:听Red strong wind warning until midnight Tuesday
- Coromandel:听Orange strong wind warning until midnight Tuesday
- Gisborne:听Orange heavy rain warning until midnight Tuesday; strong wind watch until 2am tomorrow
- Hawke鈥檚 Bay (especially about the ranges):听Orange heavy rain warning until 2am tomorrow
- Taranaki:听Red strong wind warning until 10pm tonight
- Mt Taranaki:听Orange heavy rain warning until midnight Tuesday
- Wairarapa including the Tararua District, Wellington, Horowhenua, and the Kapiti Coast:听Orange strong wind warning until midnight Tuesday
- Wairarapa including the Tararua District:听Orange heavy wind warning until midnight Tuesday
- Wairarapa - Turakirae Head to Mataikona:听Heavy swell warning until 3pm tomorrow
- Marlborough and Nelson southeast of Mapua including Nelson Lakes:听Orange strong wind warning until 2am tomorrow
- Canterbury Plains and the foothills north Rakaia River:听Heavy rain watch until midnight tomorrow
- Chatham Islands:听Strong wind watch until 2am tomorrow
听
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