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Snow for Auckland? Model shows 'polar streamer', forecaster predicts cold surge

Author
Natasha Gordon,
Publish Date
Thu, 12 Sep 2024, 7:12am
Cold clear dawn in Auckland. Photo / Michael Craig
Cold clear dawn in Auckland. Photo / Michael Craig

Snow for Auckland? Model shows 'polar streamer', forecaster predicts cold surge

Author
Natasha Gordon,
Publish Date
Thu, 12 Sep 2024, 7:12am

Warm spring weather听is starting to take hold but we may soon return to the kind of conditions seen in the depths of winter with 鈥減otential鈥 snowfall in the North Island.

One weather model shared to X by Hauraki Gulf Weather projected a 鈥減olar streamer鈥 over the country early next week 鈥渄ropping snow in unusual places鈥.

This included 2cm of snow on Northland and snow flurries for South Auckland and Waikato.

鈥淪till a long way out & downgrades are likely but always interesting to watch the polar vortex spook the best,鈥 it posted.

Niwa meteorologist and forecaster Ben Noll told the听Herald听it was still early days forecasting where snow may fall and how much places would receive.

鈥淭he weather pattern does look favourable鈥 for snowfall, Noll said, but 鈥渨e are definitely seeing elevated chances for colder temperatures next week鈥.

Noll said the snow would likely fall in higher elevated areas such as the Tararua Ranges.

When asked if Auckland had any chance of seeing snow, Noll said it would be 鈥渉ighly exceptional鈥.

Snow in Auckland听is rare and the last time the city had snow was in 2011.

That snowfall event was described as a 鈥渙nce-in-a-lifetime鈥 polar blast. Before 2011 the city centre in Auckland hadn鈥檛 received snow since the 1930s.

Noll said we will get a better picture of the 鈥減otential snow鈥 as we move into this weekend.

MetService meteorologist John Law said he is not expecting snow for Northland, Auckland and Waikato.

He said it will be the South Island that bears the brunt of the cold weather early next week.

鈥淣ext week as the winds turn southwesterly it will be bringing colder air up the country and also a scattering of showers into Northland and Auckland with temperatures around 15C. However, with the wind it will be feeling colder.鈥

A heavy snow watch in place for parts of the lower South Island. Photo / George HeardA heavy snow watch in place for parts of the lower South Island. Photo / George Heard

There is currently a heavy snow watch in place for parts of the lower South Island (Central Otago, Queenstown Lakes District and southern Canterbury) with the heaviest snow expected above 500 metres.

The snow is expected during the second half of the day on Thursday and into Friday.

Some of the higher roads in the South Island will be impacted.

Law said commuters should keep a lookout for any updates from NZTA Waka Kotahi.

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