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PM facing first test in Niue and Fiji amid 'choppy' geopolitical waters

Author
Adam Pearse,
Publish Date
Tue, 4 Jun 2024, 4:15pm

PM facing first test in Niue and Fiji amid 'choppy' geopolitical waters

Author
Adam Pearse,
Publish Date
Tue, 4 Jun 2024, 4:15pm

Christopher Luxon left this morning for Niue and Fiji, his first trip to the Pacific since taking office.

Speaking to 九一星空无限talk ZB鈥檚 Mike Hosking earlier this morning, Luxon said the Pacific is 鈥渞eally important to our foreign policy鈥.

Luxon said he was not anxious about walking into unrest after Fiji fired multiple MPs due to pay disputes but was interested in getting a sense of 鈥渞egional issues鈥.

Luxon said he did not have an alternative plan if his plane failed to take off this morning.

Speaking to 九一星空无限talk ZB鈥檚 Mike Hosking earlier this morning, Luxon said the Pacific is 鈥渞eally important to our foreign policy鈥. Photo / Jason Dorday
Speaking to 九一星空无限talk ZB鈥檚 Mike Hosking earlier this morning, Luxon said the Pacific is 鈥渞eally important to our foreign policy鈥. Photo / Jason Dorday

Boosting trade with Fiji and assessing Niue鈥檚 reliance on other countries for development will be among Prime Minister Christopher Luxon鈥檚 key missions during his first official visit to the Pacific.

Luxon, days after his Government delivered its first Budget, is flying from Auckland to Niue and then on to Fiji this week in what will be his first opportunity to form in-person relationships with the respective leaders as greater focus from global superpowers centres on the region.

His first leg in Niue will include a meeting with Premier Dalton Tagelagi, in which the pair will recognise the impending celebration of 50 years of Niue鈥檚 self-government in free association with New Zealand later this year.

Alongside likely investments in infrastructure, Luxon is expected to reinforce New Zealand鈥檚 position as Niue鈥檚 first call for assistance with development - a nod to China鈥檚 growing influence not just in Niue but across Pacific Island countries.

Luxon was set to attend the Pacific Islands Forum in November last year, but drawn-out coalition negotiations meant representatives of National and the former Labour Government went in his place. Photo / Jason Dorday
Luxon was set to attend the Pacific Islands Forum in November last year, but drawn-out coalition negotiations meant representatives of National and the former Labour Government went in his place. Photo / Jason Dorday

Niuean-born New Zealand-based public health expert Sir Collin Tukuitonga told the Herald that China鈥檚 presence in the small island nation was evident through solar farm projects and re-sealing roads, alongside discussions of China鈥檚 inclusion in parts of Niue鈥檚 education curriculum.

鈥淭he Chinese are there now in a big way ... so I imagine that would be a concern for Luxon,鈥 he said.

However, he suspected Luxon would receive a clear response if he was overly critical of Niue鈥檚 engagement with China.

鈥淭he Niuean leaders will tell you, the reason for [China re-sealing roads] is they鈥檝e been asking Wellington for yonks for assistance with the roads,鈥 he said.

鈥淲hilst the solar has been supported by New Zealand, it鈥檚 nowhere near enough and the power generation on the island is marginal.

鈥淧olitical leaders on Niue would say, 鈥榃ell, we鈥檝e asked Wellington and we鈥檝e been fobbed off鈥.鈥

Tukuitonga, who regularly returned to Niue and was involved in health studies on the island, said the 50 years of self-governing was an important milestone, but it came at a time when Niue faced severe labour shortages and concern for its native language.

Only 1500 people lived on the island while about 30,000 Niueans lived elsewhere including in New Zealand and Australia. Tukuitonga said about 15 per cent could speak the native language.

鈥淭here鈥檚 a real concern about the loss of the language and when you lose a language, you lose a culture.

鈥淪uccessive New Zealand governments have really failed in their duty to provide for, as it says in the constitution, necessary support and they have really neglected their responsibility to support the language.鈥

Nevertheless, Tukuitonga expected Luxon鈥檚 visit to be welcomed like past leaders. Former PM Dame Jacinda Ardern was a beloved figure on the island. Dubbed the 鈥渄aughter of Niue鈥, Ardern had a strong connection through her father Ross, who was formerly New Zealand鈥檚 High Commissioner to Niue and its police commissioner.

Sir Collin Tukuitonga returns to his birthplace of Niue often. Photo / University of Auckland
Sir Collin Tukuitonga returns to his birthplace of Niue often. Photo / University of Auckland

Luxon鈥檚 statement announcing the trip on Sunday clearly set the scene for his visit to Fiji as having a 鈥渟ignificant trade and economic focus鈥 amid 鈥渋ncreasingly choppy geostrategic waters鈥.

Luxon was set to attend the Pacific Islands Forum in November last year but drawn-out coalition negotiations meant representatives of National and the former Labour Government went in his place.

At the time, Massey University senior lecturer Dr Anna Powles - who studied geopolitics, security and conflict in the Pacific - said Pacific leaders would understand the reasons for Luxon鈥檚 absence.

Powles yesterday told the Herald there was a sense Luxon was 鈥渘ot particularly well-known鈥 in the region and would need to deftly navigate the unique relationships New Zealand had with Niue and Fiji.

鈥淚 think there鈥檚 a tendency by New Zealand politicians to assume that New Zealand is received probably much better than New Zealand necessarily is viewed.

鈥淭here are certainly concerns in the region about the geopoliticisation of the region and around the role that New Zealand and Australia are taking in that.鈥

The Pacific Islands Forum has previously expressed concern about the Aukus security pact between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States, warning it brought the region closer to war and risked nuclear proliferation.

New Zealand was currently assessing whether it would join the non-nuclear level of Aukus.

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said the visit to Fiji would have a strong focus on trade. Photo / Mark Mitchell
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said the visit to Fiji would have a strong focus on trade. Photo / Mark Mitchell

Fiji and New Zealand鈥檚 positions on Aukus and other geopolitical issues in the region could be discussed during Luxon鈥檚 meeting with Fiji Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka, which Powles said would be 鈥渞eally valuable鈥.

鈥淭here are certainly growing concerns in the region about the way in which strategic competition is impacting local politics, impacting local security dynamics, disrupting the regional architecture and so on.

鈥淪o it鈥檚 a conversation that has obviously been ongoing for a number of years but is certainly becoming increasingly important.鈥

Powles noted China鈥檚 strong interest in Fiji, which included signing a policing co-operation agreement.

Luxon鈥檚 visit also coincided with troubles in Fiji鈥檚 politics and economy, namely the backlash from a recent vote to increase politicians鈥 pay at a time of high debt and poverty.

鈥淭his is probably one of the most significant political challenges that Fiji is facing since the Rabuka coalition was elected in 2022, so obviously Luxon is going to have to tread very carefully while he is there.鈥

Adam Pearse is a political reporter in the NZ Herald Press Gallery team, based at Parliament. He has worked for 九一星空无限 since 2018, covering sport and health for the Northern Advocate in Whang膩rei before moving to the NZ Herald in Auckland, covering Covid-19 and crime.

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