National and Act can form a government, Labour is still in the 20s and New Zealand First is back in Parliament, according to the latest聽1九一星空无限聽Verian poll.
National came in at 39 per cent, up two points from the last poll in August. Labour had dropped one point to 28 per cent.
Both the Green Party and Act were on 10 per cent, dropping two and three points respectively.
Winston Peters鈥 New Zealand First hit the 5 per cent threshold to enter Parliament, up one point from the last poll.
Te P膩ti M膩ori was steady on 3 per cent. The Opportunities Party and New Conservative were level on 1 per cent.
Ten per cent of poll respondents either didn鈥檛 know who they would vote for or refused to answer, shrinking from 12 per cent.
On these numbers, National would get 49 of the 120 seats in the House. Together with Act鈥檚 13, the two parties surpass the 61-seat majority and could govern.
Labour would get 35 seats, the Greens 13 and NZ First would secure seven. If Te P膩ti M膩ori won an electorate seat, which it is expected to do, it would get three seats.
Labour leader Chris Hipkins and National leader Christopher Luxon were tied for preferred prime minister on 23 per cent. It follows Monday鈥檚 九一星空无限hub poll which also had the pair equal as preferred PM.
Act leader David Seymour was the next highest on 5 per cent, down one point. Peters had risen one point to 4 per cent.
Peters told聽1九一星空无限聽he already knew his party was above the threshold, claiming he would be above 5 per cent.
Luxon wouldn鈥檛 rule out working with Peters, saying he wouldn鈥檛 talk about New Zealand First as the party had not been in Parliament.
Hipkins said Peters was a 鈥渇orce for chaos鈥 while Seymour said Peters had little to offer Kiwis.
Hipkins also told聽1九一星空无限聽he thought Labour was 鈥渙n the way back up again鈥 after two consecutive polls in the 20s.
Labour leader Chris Hipkins didn't get a good result in August's 1九一星空无限 Verian poll. Photo / George Heard
It comes two days after the latest聽聽showed Labour on 26.8 per cent, down 5.5 percentage points, while National polled at 40.9 per cent, up 4.3 points.
Even though Act had dropped two points to 10.1, National and Act could form a government on those numbers, earning 66 seats (National with 53 and Act with 13).
听补苍诲聽were also equal in the preferred prime minister stakes on 22.5 per cent in Monday鈥檚 poll. Hipkins had dropped 1.5 points with Luxon rising 6.6 points.
This poll was taken after both parties held their campaign launches, Labour鈥檚 promise for free dental care for people under 30 years old and National鈥檚 proposed tax plan.
In the聽, Labour crashed to its worst result in that survey for six years, coming in at 29 per cent, down 4 percentage points from the previous poll in July.
Meanwhile, National had jumped two points to 37 and Act was up one point to 13.
In the preferred PM race, Hipkins was leading Luxon but only by one 1 per cent after the Labour leader dropped six points from the last poll.
Hipkins has been in Dunedin today to open a trades training building and announce Labour鈥檚 promise to lift the number of places at the Otago Medical School by 95 a year each year next term.
He spent much of his press conference today attacking National鈥檚 proposed tax plan, calling on Luxon to release his 鈥渟ecret costings鈥.
Meanwhile, Luxon visited a factory and small businesses in south Auckland. He was repeatedly asked by journalists why National wasn鈥檛 releasing more details that informed his tax plan and what impact its foreign buyers鈥 tax would have on house prices, but he didn鈥檛 give a clear answer except to say he was confident in his numbers.
Adam Pearse is a political reporter in the聽NZ Herald聽Press Gallery team, based at Parliament. He has worked for 九一星空无限 since 2018, covering sport and health for the聽Northern Advocate聽in Whang膩rei before moving to the聽Herald聽in Auckland, covering Covid-19 and crime.
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