The share of students leaving听school听before they turn 17 is the highest in a decade, as听education standards continue to fall across the board.听
That鈥檚 according to the latest school leaver data,听published today, which also shows the gaps between rich and听poor听and听惭腻辞谤颈听and non-惭腻辞谤颈 continuing to widen.听
Barely half (51.8%) of all students in 2023 left听school听with NCEA 3 or above, the lowest rate since 2014, and a continuation of the听years-long declining trend. For 惭腻辞谤颈, the proportion was only 33.2%, and while Pacific students bucked the trend by improving on 2022 results, the proportion leaving school with NCEA 3 or above was still well below half (44.7%).听
A major contributor to those results was the fact that more than a fifth of all students (21.4%, and 36.4% for 惭腻辞谤颈) left school in 2023 before they turned 17, the highest proportion since 2013.听
鈥淚n 2023, 14,101 school leavers left school before the age of 17, an increase of 5.7% from 2022,鈥 an Education Counts report said.听
The results will be further fuel for the Government to justify its policies aimed at turning around education achievement levels, including plans to听fast-track changes to the maths curriculum.听
The听Ministry of Education听attributed the lower retention rate to the 鈥渋ncreased cost of living, the strong labour market, disruption to learning due to Covid-19, and decreased attendance鈥.听
Only 6.7% of these students left school due to moving overseas, while for 14.9%, it was because they were 鈥渃ontinuously absent鈥 鈥 the highest such proportion in a decade.听
Meanwhile, the gap between rich and poor (as measured by the Equity Index) is widening: there鈥檚 an almost 40% achievement gap for NCEA 3 or above between school leavers from the richest and poorest backgrounds, with the biggest fall in achievement among the least advantaged students.听
鈥淚n 2023, 73.2% of school leavers from schools with fewer barriers had attained NCEA Level 3 or above. This was higher than the percentage of school leavers from schools with moderate (49.0%) and more (35.4%) barriers to achievement,鈥 the听Education Counts report said.听
The biggest decreases in school leavers鈥 achievement were at NCEA 1 and 2.听
In 2023, 83.8% of school leavers (71.7% for 惭腻辞谤颈) achieved NCEA Level 1 or above, a drop by 1.6 percentage points from 2022 and down by 6.2% since 2017.听
Achievement among 惭腻辞谤颈 school leavers has fallen by almost 10% since 2018.听
鈥淏arriers to attainment appear to have grown for 惭腻辞谤颈 school leavers compared to total school leavers. The gap between attainment of NCEA level 1 or above for 惭腻辞谤颈 and total school leavers has grown from 8.9 percentage points in 2019 to 12.1 in 2023,鈥 the report said.听
The drops among Pacific (by 0.5 percentage points) and European/P膩keh膩 (1.4 percentage points) school leavers were much less sharp, and while it was higher for Asian students (2.7 percentage points) the achievement level was also much higher (92.1% leaving school with at least NCEA Level 1).听
For NCEA Level 2 and above, the proportion leaving school was less than three-quarters (74.4%) of school leavers in 2023 鈥 the lowest in a decade and a 1.3 percentage point fall compared with 2022.听
鈥淪igns of continued inequity are apparent. On average school leavers who identify as 惭腻辞谤颈, Pacific, or male, or who are from schools with more barriers to achievement are more likely to leave school without NCEA Level 2 or above,鈥 the report said.听
School-leaver data is considered the most comprehensive measure of secondary student attainment because it captures all students.听
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has said there is an听education crisis听in New Zealand and he is determined to turn it around with a series of policies across teacher training, the curriculum, standardised testing and tackling truancy, among others.听
Derek Cheng is a senior journalist who started at the听Herald听in 2004. He has worked several stints in the press gallery team and is a former deputy political editor.听
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