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I'm neither happy or unhappy that Adrian Orr is no longer Reserve Bank Governor, but I do have a piece of advice for whoever ends up taking over from him.
Just be the complete opposite.
Because I reckon he fell into a trap that ended up with him getting too big for his boots. Which, maybe, is very hard to avoid when you鈥檙e in a job like his, but the next person needs to make sure they stay in their lane and keeps themselves in check.
When you鈥檙e the Reserve Bank Governor, your job is to work on creating a rock star economy - you鈥檙e not the rock star yourself.
No one can argue that his tenure coincided with a time when what you would consider to be the most grey and dull jobs in the world, took on a whole new meaning.
Ashley Bloomfield, for example. Because of COVID, everyone knew who he was.
And Adrian Orr. Because of COVID, he was elevated to a level no other reserve bank governor got to in terms of profile and recognition.
If you ask me to name another Reserve Bank Governor, the only name that comes to my head straight away is Don Brash. That鈥檚 because of his political career that he got into after he left the bank.
And if I think a little bit more, there鈥檚 Alan Bollard. But that's it.
But everyone pretty much knows who Adrian Orr is and I think it went to his head. I think he loved the limelight, and, in the process, he got a bit too cocky. I think he lost sight of what his job was actually all about.
Nevertheless, I don鈥檛 think he personally is to blame for everything when it comes to us feeling more hard up than ever.
And, if he hadn鈥檛 fallen into the trap of letting the job go to his head, he might not be copping as much criticism as he has and is.
I鈥檓 with economist Tony Alexander who is saying today that business people and homeowners who blame Orr for their cashflow problems are both right and wrong.
He鈥檚 saying that they're right in that he oversaw the continuation of excessively loose spending during 2021 and into 2022, which over-stimulated the economy and pushed inflation up to 7.3%.
He also was boss of the Reserve Bank when the official cash rate reached 5.5%. And then got it down to 2.2% by what Tony Alexander describes as Orr 鈥渃runching the economy鈥.
But he also says, let鈥檚 not forget Labour鈥檚 Grant Robertson鈥檚 role in all of this.
He was the guy who kept fiscal policy loose.
My understanding is that staff at the Reserve Bank had no idea this was coming until after it was announced to the media. Which is a shocker. And, apparently, staff at the bank have no idea what鈥檚 behind it.
I鈥檓 picking that he鈥檚 thrown his toys out of the cot because the Government wants to cut the budgets at the Reserve Bank. And a lot of that will have to do with what the Government probably sees as the former Governor鈥檚 obsession with things outside what it considers core business for the central bank.
But, from the very limited things that have been said since the announcement yesterday afternoon, it鈥檚 obvious that he鈥檚 quit.
Because when the chair of the bank Neil Quigley said it was 鈥渁 personal decision鈥 by Adrian Orr, that says he鈥檚 quit. It doesn't say he鈥檚 leaving for personal reasons, it says he鈥檚 walking away.
He鈥檚 going to be on the payroll until the end of the month, but he鈥檚 not Governor of the bank anymore. An acting Governor took over at midday yesterday.
The other thing too about all this secrecy, is that I don't think it鈥檚 acceptable when you鈥檝e got a senior public servant who earns more than $800,000 a year quitting like this.
On the basis of what we kind-of know, I think we deserve more of an explanation.
If the guy鈥檚 thrown a hissy fit - tell us. Because, for someone who seemed to love the limelight as much as he did, disappearing the way he has is not only very strange, it鈥檚 also somewhat disrespectful.
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