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Kate Hawkesby: Coalition chaos

Author
Kate Hawkesby,
Publish Date
Tue, 17 Oct 2023, 7:35am
Photos / 九一星空无限
Photos / 九一星空无限

Kate Hawkesby: Coalition chaos

Author
Kate Hawkesby,
Publish Date
Tue, 17 Oct 2023, 7:35am

鈥楯acinda was prepared to sell her grandmother鈥.. read the headline yesterday.

A statement made by Ron Mark when interviewed about how coalition negotiations have gone in the past with NZ First. Unfortunately, he went on to say in the article that not only was she ready to sell her grandmother, but she did.

Ouch.

What an indictment on an already unpopular leader. But it should serve as a warning to Luxon and co as they head into the rocky, murky waters, that is the negotiation of coalition deals. Hopefully they don鈥檛 feel they need to sell the grandparents.

Two other things to bear in mind: one, Winston鈥檚鈥 a wily old dog, and two, Luxon is new to this politics game. I hope he鈥檚 flanked by enough political savvy to keep him from trying to flog the family jewels, but then again, he may not even need Winston. All the talk of the specials leaning left I don鈥檛 buy this time round. Remember, a lot of those specials are overseas voters 鈥 the very ones who got locked out, pinged in MIQ, missed funerals for loved ones, or scarpered overseas post the lockdowns, in disgust with where our country was going. The brain drainers... how do you reckon they鈥檙e voting?

Yes, the specials tend to lean left 鈥 as they have in the past, but this time round is different. This time who's to say they won鈥檛 go the way the rest of the votes have gone, a punishment for Labour? The Greens of course always pick up all the student votes, and they may pick up those disgruntled Labour voters who can鈥檛 bring themselves to vote for National 鈥 but we wait, we watch, we hope for the best.

And when I say the best, I genuinely believe a two-party government beats a three-party one, purely because there are less moving parts. I said this before the election and I still believe it. And no, it鈥檚 not because I hate Winston, as some texters have accused me, I just don鈥檛 believe he adds value. He has pet projects he obsesses with: racing, provincial growth fund, superannuitants, but outside of that he seems to not really care. He's a lot of noise and grandstanding, not a lot of action. Although super gold card holders will disagree, they probably think he's the messiah. I鈥檓 just not sure NZ First voters this time will get what they wanted or hoped for, out of their vote for him 鈥 especially if he鈥檚 not even in government.

So a tricky time of negotiations ahead and I鈥檓 not sure how over it we all are听in terms of being happy not to hear about any politics for 3 weeks while they sort it out,听or desperate to be across every aspect as they go. I mean when Luxon says we鈥檙e not negotiating it through the media, that鈥檚 fair enough and I believe that鈥檚 his wish. But what if ACT or NZ First 鈥 if they鈥檙e involved, think differently? You鈥檇 like to think that with so much rhetoric around the grownups being back in charge, that they would actually all act like grownups, but we鈥檒l see.

The temptation to use the media will loom large for anyone feeling disgruntled, but it will be a particular irony if that鈥檚 Winston given he鈥檚 so adept at shunning them and talking them down all the time. But you just know that if anyone's going to loop them in, leak, and play a negotiating game including them, it will be him. Oh the irony.
So a long three weeks ahead? Or we just don鈥檛 care? Let me know what you think.

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