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Christopher Luxon’s made the right call not going to Waitangi next year. 

He's probably going to cop it from the press gallery for being a wuss but most of us have been around long enough to see the logic in this. 

We know by now that Waitangi is volatile and unpredictable at the best of times. You can cop a dildo in the face for doing nothing. 

So imagine how intense it will be next year with the Treaty Principles bill debate in full swing and the select committee progress already underway. 

Already Willie Jackson has warned the Prime Minister about his safety if he goes up there because apparently Māori are angry. 

And as Willie Jackson says, "you just never know". 

It’s hardly as if Luxon is being made to feel welcome. 

He’s apparently been told he’s allowed to come on the 6th but not on the 4th because he’s not welcome at the big meeting the National Iwi Chairs Forum hosts every year. 

He’s had a letter from the hikoi organisers telling him he’s not welcome at Waitangi at all. 

Luxon loses nothing by giving it a miss. I doubt very much he’ll win votes by going. 

But he could actually lose votes by going and standing there like a piñata, taking a verbal bashing over a bill that’s actually not his. 

He’s better off leaving the defending to the guy who’s actually responsible for the bill, David Seymour, who says he is going. 

So Luxon I think can say he’s done enough, he's been there two years in a row already, he’s shown respect and defended his corner and he’s not being made to feel welcome. 

He’s been threatened. 

Right-minded people will absolutely, I think, understand why he may not want to go and why he frankly shouldn't.